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Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

FA Cup Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
2 - 3
11:35 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Long Wei
Assist: Xu Haofeng
34' Event
Adriano Firmino
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Xu Haofeng In: Ming Tian
Out: Xu Haofeng

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Wuhan Three Towns
35%
Draws
35%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Wuhan Three Towns haven't matched Shandong Taishan's recent run of results.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Wuhan Three Towns taking it.
  • Shandong Taishan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shandong Taishan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 16%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wuhan Three Towns Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
2:3
May 24, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
1:5
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Wuhan Three Towns
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Top Goalscorer Long Wei
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cadiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Yang
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wuhan Three Towns 48 / 100
Shandong Taishan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wuhan Three Towns Shandong Taishan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wuhan Three Towns Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wuhan Three Towns scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Shandong Taishan has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Wuhan Three Towns stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wuhan Three Towns VS Shandong Taishan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wuhan Three Towns

(Home)
18 Sept
Zhejiang Professional
4 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

Shandong Taishan

(Away)
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3
Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Guangdong Shudihong 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 4
TBD -
Meizhou Hakka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Xiamen Chengyi 0
Shenzhen 2028 1
TBD -
Shaanxi Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Wenzhou Professional 0
TBD -
Nantong Zhiyun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 1
Xiamen Feilu 0
TBD -
Guangdong GZ-Power -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Chongqing Handa 0
Qingdao Red Lions 1
TBD -
Nanjing City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 1
Nantong Haimen 0
TBD -
Guangxi Hengchen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Guangdong Mingtu 0
TBD -
Yanbian Longding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 2
Guizhou Guiyang 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 2
Ganzhou Ruishi 0
TBD -
Suzhou Dongwu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Changchun Xidu 2
TBD -
Dingnan Ganlian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 2
Beijing Technology 1
TBD -
Ningbo Professional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Qingdao Fuli 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
TBD -
Changchun Yatai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Quanzhou Qinggong 0
Jiangxi Lushan 7
TBD -
Dalian Kun City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Ningxia Pingluo 0
Hangzhou Linping 2
TBD -
Foshan Nanshi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 2
Taian Tiankuang 1
TBD -
Shijiazhuang Gongfu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Yunnan Cuanhe 0
Guangzhou Dandelion 1
TBD -
Wuxi Wugou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/32-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Meizhou Hakka 1
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Shenzhen 2028 0
Shaanxi Union 2
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Nantong Zhiyun 1
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Qingdao Red Lions 1
Nanjing City 0
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 0
Guangxi Hengchen 4
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Yanbian Longding 0
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 0
Shenzhen Juniors 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 0
Suzhou Dongwu 2
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Dingnan Ganlian 2
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 1
Ningbo Professional 4
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
Changchun Yatai 1
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Jiangxi Lushan 2
Dalian Kun City 0
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Hangzhou Linping 1
Foshan Nanshi 0
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Guangzhou Dandelion 0
Wuxi Wugou 2
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/16-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1
Shaanxi Union 2
Zhejiang Professional 1
Dalian Kewei 1
Liaoning Tieren 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Qingdao Red Lions 0
Wuhan Three Towns 1
Guangxi Hengchen 0
Shandong Taishan 5
Shanghai Second 1
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Juniors 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 3
Suzhou Dongwu 2
Yunnan Yukun 4
Shanghai Zetian 0
Chengdu Rongcheng 4
Ningbo Professional 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1
Qingdao West Coast 2
Jiangxi Lushan 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 2
Hangzhou Linping 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0
Shanghai Shenhua 2
Wuxi Wugou 2
Qingdao Hainiu 3
1/8-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Shaanxi Union 0
Dalian Kewei 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Wuhan Three Towns 2
Shandong Taishan 3
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1
Yunnan Yukun 4
Chengdu Rongcheng 3
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Qingdao West Coast 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shanghai Shenhua 4
Qingdao Hainiu 1
Quarter-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1
Beijing Guoan 3
Shandong Taishan 0
Shanghai Port 3
Yunnan Yukun 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong 0
Dalian Yingbo 1
Shanghai Shenhua 0
Semi-finals
Beijing Guoan -
Shanghai Port -
Yunnan Yukun -
Dalian Yingbo -
Final
TBD -
TBD -