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Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan
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Match Events

13'
Gabriel Xavier
14'
Sub
Ademi A. In: Zhao Jianfei
Out: Ademi A.
35' Event
Xiong J.
Assist: Cadiz J.

AI Match Summary

Wuhan Three Towns in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wuhan Three Towns.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Wuhan Three Towns
35%
Draws
32%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Wuhan Three Towns haven't matched Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 17%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wuhan Three Towns Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:0
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
5:2
Oct 24, 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:2
Jun 18, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Top Goalscorer Xiong J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wang Jinxian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wuhan Three Towns 30 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wuhan Three Towns Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wuhan Three Towns Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wuhan Three Towns's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Wuhan Three Towns remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wuhan Three Towns VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wuhan Three Towns

(Home)
18 Sept
Zhejiang Professional
4 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Away)
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1
Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)