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Wurzburger FV vs Erlangen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wurzburger FV play Erlangen in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019. Wurzburger FV are favorites here. Recently, Wurzburger FV averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Erlangen averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Wurzburger FV won 5, Erlangen won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.08 for Wurzburger FV and 1.35 for Erlangen. This points to a Wurzburger FV double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wurzburger FV
6%
Draws
4%
Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wurzburger FV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wurzburger FV has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Erlangen.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Wurzburger FV.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Wurzburger FV Clean Sheet 18%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wurzburger FV Erlangen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Wurzburger FV vs Erlangen
2:0
Aug 25, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Wurzburger FV
0:5
Oct 28, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Wurzburger FV vs Erlangen
4:2
Jul 22, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Wurzburger FV
0:4
Mar 22, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Wurzburger FV
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wurzburger FV 85 / 100
Erlangen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wurzburger FV Erlangen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wurzburger FV scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Erlangen let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Wurzburger FV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Erlangen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wurzburger FV VS Erlangen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1TSV Aubstadt34244683:2776
2Gebenbach34227583:4273
3Wurzburger FV34206867:3966
4Grossbardorf34205967:3965
5SV Seligenporten34188869:5062
6Eltersdorf341581156:4553
7Bayern Hof341471354:4549
8DJK Don Bosco Bamberg341461444:3948
9Wurzburger Kickers II341461460:6948
10Abtswind341361559:6745
11Ansbach3411101368:7743
12DJK Ammerthal341161751:5239
13ATSV Erlangen341161743:6039
141. FC Sand341051942:6635
15Vach341032145:7633
16Erlangen34942153:7431
17Jahn Forchheim34862058:8630
18ASV Neumarkt34772035:8428