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Wurzburger FV vs Weiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wurzburger FV host Weiden in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Weiden have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Wurzburger FV have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Weiden slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.50, favoring Wurzburger FV. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Wurzburger FV
20%
Draws
19%
Weiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wurzburger FV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wurzburger FV come out ahead of Weiden on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wurzburger FV's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wurzburger FV Clean Sheet 16%
Weiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wurzburger FV Weiden
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Wurzburger FV vs Weiden
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Wurzburger FV
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Wurzburger FV
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Wurzburger FV vs Weiden
1:1
May 1, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Wurzburger FV
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wurzburger FV 75 / 100
Weiden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wurzburger FV Weiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wurzburger FV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wurzburger FV scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Wurzburger FV went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Weiden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Wurzburger FV VS Weiden
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wurzburger FV

(Home)
03 Oct
Bayern Hof
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
26 Sept
Wurzburger FV
1 : 1
TSV Kornburg
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Wurzburger FV
2 : 1
DJK Ammerthal
Page 1 of 7

Weiden

(Away)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 13 11 1 1 30:8 34
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
5 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
6 TSV Kornburg 13 5 6 2 23:13 21
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
11 Neudrossenfeld 13 5 1 7 16:22 16
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 13 3 4 6 20:26 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 13 1 3 9 10:23 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)