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Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Botola 2 Complexe sportif de Fès, Fès
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AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between Wydad Fes and USM Oujda finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wydad Fes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Wydad Fes
20%
Draws
40%
USM Oujda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • USM Oujda have managed 1.09 goals a game lately — Wydad Fes are scoring more at 1.19.
  • Wydad Fes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Wydad Fes Clean Sheet 68%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wydad Fes USM Oujda
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Botola 2
Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda
4:1
May 2, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Botola 2
Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda
2:0
May 14, 2025 Botola 2
Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wydad Fes 77 / 100
USM Oujda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wydad Fes USM Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wydad Fes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wydad Fes scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

USM Oujda has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Wydad Fes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wydad Fes VS USM Oujda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wydad Fes

(Home)
18 Oct
Wydad Fes
4 : 1
USM Oujda
11 Oct
Dcheira
2 : 0
Wydad Fes
03 Oct
Wydad Fes
3 : 0
US Boujaad
26 Sept
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Wydad Fes
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
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USM Oujda

(Away)
18 Oct
Wydad Fes
4 : 1
USM Oujda
10 Oct
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Dcheira 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Wydad Fes 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
6 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
7 Stade Marocain 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Olympique Khouribga 4 1 1 2 6:4 4
11 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
12 KAC Kenitra 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
14 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
15 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)