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Stadium Background

Xaghra vs Ghajnsielem

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Xaghra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Xaghra
15%
Draws
85%
Ghajnsielem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ghajnsielem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Ghajnsielem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ghajnsielem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Xaghra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%
Ghajnsielem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xaghra Ghajnsielem
Matches Played 19 26
Wins 6 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.88
Goals Conceded 3 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2019 FA Trophy
Xaghra vs Ghajnsielem
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xaghra 29 / 100
Ghajnsielem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xaghra Ghajnsielem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xaghra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghajnsielem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Ghajnsielem has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Xaghra scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Scoring Trends

Xaghra VS Ghajnsielem
1.5 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Xaghra

(Home)
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1
Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6
Hamrun
Page 1 of 4

Ghajnsielem

(Away)
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0
Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0
Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1
Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1
Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq -
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Melita -
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
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Sannat Lions -
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Gharghur -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
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Nadur -
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Oratory -
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
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Dingli Swallows -
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
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Gharb -
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St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
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Mtarfa -
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Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida -
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Attard -
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
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Zurrieq -
TBD -
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Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
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Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
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Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
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Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
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Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
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Final
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