Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Nadur in this FA Trophy 2014/2015 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nadur have won more games recently than Xaghra.
- Win probability leans Nadur's way, sitting at 40%.
- Nadur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%
Nadur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xaghra | Nadur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 2.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 3.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2017 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Xaghra
4:1
Sep 10, 2014 FA Trophy
Xaghra vs Nadur
0:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xaghra 26 / 100
Nadur 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xaghra Nadur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nadur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Xaghra found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).
Nadur let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: Nadur registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Xaghra VS Nadur
1.29 Goals Scored 2.75
3.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
86% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Xaghra
(Home) 18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2 Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1 Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5 Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1 Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6 Hamrun
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10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5 Victoria Hotspurs
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6 Hamrun
27 Oct
Xaghra
0 : 3 Victoria Hotspurs
15 Sept
Xaghra
3 : 1 Ghajnsielem
06 Sept
Xaghra
2 : 0 St. Venera
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Nadur
(Away) 01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
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01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Birkirkara
4 : 0 Nadur
08 Feb
Hibernians
2 : 0 Nadur
01 Dec
Birkirkara
1 : 0 Nadur
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mgarr 1
Kalkara 4
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Attard 0
Kercem Ajax 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Mtarfa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija -
TBD -
Luqa 3
Oratory 4
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 3
Munxar 0
Xewkija 0
Kirkop 1
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Santa Lucia 3
Qala Saints 2
TBD -
Zabbar -
Nadur 5
Xaghra 0
TBD -
Fgura -
St. Lawrence 2
Mdina 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Hamrun 3
Zurrieq 2
Dingli Swallows 1
Xghajra 1
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 2
Senglea 3
Swieqi 7
Kalkara 0
Ghaxaq 0
Gzira 8
Melita 1
Zejtun 0
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga 3
Kercem Ajax 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 4
Mtarfa 0
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija 7
Oratory 0
San Gwann 1
Sirens 2
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 0
Kirkop 2
Msida 4
Marsa 1
Santa Lucia 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 2
Fgura 1
St. Lawrence 1
Gharghur 2
St. George's FC 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 7
Hamrun 1
Zurrieq 2
Siggiewi 5
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Zebbug 0
Pembroke 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 6
Senglea 1
Swieqi 0
Gzira 6
Melita 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Birzebbuga 1
Valletta 7
Qormi 3
Qrendi 0
Sliema 0
Floriana 1
Gudja 3
Tarxien 0
Lija 0
Sirens 1
Balzan FC 2
Kirkop 0
Msida 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 4
Gharghur 1
St. George's FC 0
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 3
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 4
Gzira 1
Melita 0
Valletta 2
Qormi 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 0
Sirens 6
Balzan FC 6
Zabbar 0
Nadur 1
Hibernians 3
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Valletta 3
Qormi 7
Sirens 0
Balzan FC 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 0
Qormi 0
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 2
Hibernians 0
