Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Xamax and Aarau finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Aarau come out ahead of Xamax on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- Aarau have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xamax | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xamax Compare
Aarau Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Xamax scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Aarau has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Aarau's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Xamax
(Home)Aarau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 75:41 | 81 |
| 2 | Aarau | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 77:47 | 80 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 75:48 | 67 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 59:51 | 50 |
| 5 | Xamax | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 55:56 | 49 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 36 | 14 | 2 | 20 | 52:62 | 44 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 46:54 | 40 |
| 8 | Wil | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 33:60 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 40:77 | 23 |