Sport Picks
Xamax vs Etoile-Carouge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Switzerland
Challenge League Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel 
AI Match Summary
Xamax host Etoile-Carouge in the Challenge League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Etoile-Carouge have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Xamax have conceded 2 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, Xamax have won 5 to Etoile-Carouge's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Xamax. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Xamax come out ahead of Etoile-Carouge on wins alone.
- Xamax are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- Xamax have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xamax | Etoile-Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Xamax's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Etoile-Carouge has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Xamax has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Xamax
(Home)Etoile-Carouge
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:3 | 25 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Winterthur | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Xamax | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 5 | Kriens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 9 | Wil | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:28 | 5 |
