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Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xamax host Stade Nyonnais in the Challenge League. This has Xamax written all over it on paper. Xamax have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Stade Nyonnais's 0.9 scored and 2.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Xamax have won 3 to Stade Nyonnais's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.44, favoring Xamax. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Xamax
15%
Draws
26%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xamax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xamax come out ahead of Stade Nyonnais on wins alone.
  • Model gives Xamax a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Xamax Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xamax Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.6 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais
4:1
Mar 6, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
0:0
Dec 19, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 Swiss Cup
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xamax 84 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xamax Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xamax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Stade Nyonnais's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Xamax remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xamax VS Stade Nyonnais
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Xamax

(Home)
23 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
0 : 0
Xamax
18 Oct
Langenthal
2 : 3
Xamax
09 Oct
Xamax
3 : 0
Winterthur
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
25 Sept
Zurich
3 : 1
Xamax
Page 1 of 6

Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
23 Oct
Winterthur
4 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1
Aarau
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 11 7 4 0 20:3 25
2 Yverdon 11 6 4 1 21:11 22
3 Winterthur 11 6 3 2 23:11 21
4 Xamax 11 5 1 5 15:17 16
5 Kriens 11 4 3 4 19:17 15
6 Aarau 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
7 Etoile-Carouge 11 3 3 5 10:15 12
8 Rapperswil-Jona 11 3 2 6 17:21 11
9 Wil 11 2 5 4 18:24 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 11 1 2 8 8:28 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)