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Xanthi vs Eleftheroupolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xanthi host Eleftheroupolis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. This has Xanthi written all over it on paper. Eleftheroupolis have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Xanthi have conceded 0.66 and scored 2.14. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 0.83, favoring Xanthi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Xanthi
30%
Draws
9%
Eleftheroupolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xanthi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Eleftheroupolis haven't matched Xanthi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Xanthi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Xanthi Clean Sheet 20%
Eleftheroupolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xanthi Eleftheroupolis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 2.14 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xanthi 85 / 100
Eleftheroupolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xanthi Eleftheroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xanthi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xanthi scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Eleftheroupolis conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Xanthi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Eleftheroupolis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xanthi VS Eleftheroupolis
1.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Xanthi

(Home)
18 Oct
Xanthi
3 : 0
MAS Ardas Kastanion
10 Oct
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 1
Xanthi
30 Aug
Doxa Dramas
1 : 2
Xanthi
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Xanthi
2 : 0
Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 6

Eleftheroupolis

(Away)
18 Oct
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 4
Doxa Dramas
10 Oct
Sidirochori
2 : 2
Eleftheroupolis
17 May
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 0
Aris
10 May
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 1
Ethnikos Alexandroupoli
03 May
Thyella Filotas
2 : 0
Eleftheroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doxa Dramas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Xanthi 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Kavala 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 MAS Ardas Kastanion 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
5 Pontion Nea Amisos 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Sidirochori 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
7 Aetos Ofryniou 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
8 Eleftheroupolis 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
9 Thrakis 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
10 Apollon Paralimniou 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)