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Xanthi vs Iraklis Thermaikou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Xanthi and Iraklis Thermaikou finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iraklis Thermaikou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Xanthi
20%
Draws
40%
Iraklis Thermaikou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Xanthi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Xanthi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Xanthi Clean Sheet 20%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xanthi Iraklis Thermaikou
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Xanthi
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Xanthi vs Iraklis Thermaikou
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Xanthi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xanthi 40 / 100
Iraklis Thermaikou 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xanthi Iraklis Thermaikou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xanthi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xanthi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Xanthi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Iraklis Thermaikou has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xanthi VS Iraklis Thermaikou
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xanthi

(Home)
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Xanthi
2 : 0
Panthrakikos
01 Apr
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 7
Xanthi
28 Mar
Xanthi
0 : 1
Doxa Dramas
22 Mar
Poseidonas Michanionas
0 : 3
Xanthi
Page 1 of 6

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Away)
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 1
Poseidonas Michanionas
28 Mar
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
22 Mar
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 2
Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panthrakikos 22 16 3 3 52:16 51
2 Xanthi 22 12 8 2 48:17 44
3 Doxa Dramas 22 13 4 5 41:25 43
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 22 10 8 4 31:18 38
5 Poseidonas Michanionas 22 8 10 4 28:22 34
6 Aetos Ofryniou 22 10 3 9 37:37 33
7 PAOK Kristonis 22 7 8 7 24:28 29
8 Krya Vrysi 22 6 8 8 29:30 26
9 Thermaikos FC 22 6 4 12 19:32 22
10 Kilkisiakos 22 5 6 11 26:38 21
11 PAOK Dytikou 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Orestis Orestiadas 22 1 1 20 12:63 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Losers stage)