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Xelaju vs Deportivo San Pedro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Fuentes E.
23'
Aldana B.
26'
Ruiz K.

AI Match Summary

Xelaju in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Xelaju
30%
Draws
29%
Deportivo San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo San Pedro haven't matched Xelaju's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Xelaju's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Deportivo San Pedro
Matches Played 35 12
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.66 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.29 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo San Pedro
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelaju
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cardenas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Deportivo San Pedro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 76 / 100
Deportivo San Pedro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Deportivo San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xelaju scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Xelaju remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Deportivo San Pedro conceded in 58% of 12 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Deportivo San Pedro
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo San Pedro

(Away)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 13 8 1 4 19:15 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Malacateco 13 4 3 6 14:19 15
10 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)