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Xelaju vs Luis Angel Firpo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Lopez A. In: Cardenas S.
Out: Lopez A.
11' Event
Casas D.
21' Event
Ortez D.
Assist: Garcia V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Xelaju
30%
Draws
43%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xelaju lately — more wins on the board than Luis Angel Firpo.
  • 27% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Xelaju have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Xelaju vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Casas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 41 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Luis Angel Firpo conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Xelaju remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Luis Angel Firpo
1.71 Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)