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Xerez CD vs Ayamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 Chapín, Jerez
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Dominguez D.
66' Event
Chacon P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
37%
Ayamonte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xerez CD lately — more wins on the board than Ayamonte.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Ayamonte
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Ayamonte
1:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Xerez CD
1:2
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Xerez CD
2:2
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Ayamonte
4:0
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Ayamonte
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ayamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 42 / 100
Ayamonte 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Ayamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez CD's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Ayamonte has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Xerez CD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
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Ayamonte

(Away)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)