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Xerez Deportivo FC vs AD Ceuta B

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Agbor M.
30' Event
Bote J.
35' Event
Charid I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Xerez Deportivo FC and AD Ceuta B finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Xerez Deportivo FC
6%
Draws
90%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AD Ceuta B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Ceuta B come out ahead of Xerez Deportivo FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AD Ceuta B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Xerez Deportivo FC vs AD Ceuta B
3:3
Jun 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs AD Ceuta B
3:2
Jun 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Xerez Deportivo FC
0:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs AD Ceuta B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Charid I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias Baez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbor M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bote J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 10 / 100
AD Ceuta B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC AD Ceuta B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Xerez Deportivo FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

AD Ceuta B let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Xerez Deportivo FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS AD Ceuta B
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%