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Xerez Deportivo FC vs Chiclana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xerez Deportivo FC host Chiclana in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chiclana have shipped 1.87 goals a game lately, while Xerez Deportivo FC have conceded 1.2 and scored 0.97. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.25) point toward Xerez Deportivo FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Xerez Deportivo FC
35%
Draws
25%
Chiclana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xerez Deportivo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xerez Deportivo FC come out ahead of Chiclana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Xerez Deportivo FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 19%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC Chiclana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 40 / 100
Chiclana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC Chiclana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez Deportivo FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiclana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Xerez Deportivo FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Chiclana registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS Chiclana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Egabrense
1 : 2
Xerez Deportivo FC
11 Oct
Xerez Deportivo FC
2 : 2
San Roque de Lepe
04 Oct
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
1 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
27 Sept
Betis C
2 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0
Bollullos
Page 1 of 6

Chiclana

(Away)
18 Oct
Chiclana
2 : 2
Betis C
10 Oct
Bollullos
2 : 0
Chiclana
04 Oct
Chiclana
1 : 1
Sevilla C
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 7 5 1 1 18:6 16
2 CD Utrera 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
3 Betis C 7 4 2 1 16:10 14
4 Tomares UD 7 4 2 1 9:6 14
5 Portuense 7 4 1 2 13:7 13
6 Pozoblanco 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
7 San Roque de Lepe 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
8 Xerez Deportivo FC 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
9 Chiclana 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
10 Conil 7 3 0 4 6:11 9
11 Egabrense 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
12 AD Ceuta B 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
13 Linense 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
15 Cadiz B 7 1 3 3 5:6 6
16 Bollullos 7 1 2 4 8:11 5
17 Sevilla C 7 1 2 4 7:14 5
18 Cordoba B 6 0 2 4 5:12 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)