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Xerez Deportivo FC vs La Union (Malacitano)

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Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rivelott Curro
14' Event
Mateo J.
30' Event
Ortiz A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Xerez Deportivo FC and La Union (Malacitano) finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez Deportivo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Xerez Deportivo FC
11%
Draws
80%
La Union (Malacitano)
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: La Union (Malacitano)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • La Union (Malacitano) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans La Union (Malacitano)'s way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 20%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC La Union (Malacitano)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs La Union (Malacitano)
4:2
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Xerez Deportivo FC
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivelott Curro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

La Union (Malacitano) Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 12 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC La Union (Malacitano)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union (Malacitano) has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Xerez Deportivo FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: La Union (Malacitano) has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS La Union (Malacitano)
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621