Sport Picks
Xerez Deportivo FC vs La Union (Malacitano) Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Rivelott Curro
14'
14'
Mateo J.
30'
30'
Ortiz A.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Xerez Deportivo FC and La Union (Malacitano) finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez Deportivo FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xerez Deportivo FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- La Union (Malacitano) carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 15%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xerez Deportivo FC | La Union (Malacitano) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs La Union (Malacitano)
4:2
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Xerez Deportivo FC
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xerez Deportivo FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivelott Curro
1 Goals Assists Leader Mateo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
La Union (Malacitano) Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xerez Deportivo FC 35 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xerez Deportivo FC La Union (Malacitano)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Union (Malacitano) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Union (Malacitano) has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Xerez Deportivo FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: La Union (Malacitano) has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Xerez Deportivo FC VS La Union (Malacitano)
0.88 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Xerez Deportivo FC
(Home) 27 Sept
Betis C
2 : 0 Xerez Deportivo FC
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0 Bollullos
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3 Xerez Deportivo FC
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1 Portuense
25 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 1 Lion City Sailors
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0 Bollullos
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1 Portuense
25 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 1 Lion City Sailors
22 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0 Sanluqueno
15 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 3
La Union (Malacitano)
(Away) 03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
21 Mar
Xerez CD
2 : 1 La Union (Malacitano)
11 Mar
Linares
0 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
