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Xerez Deportivo FC vs Melilla

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Lorenzo O.
84' Event
Udom E.
90' Event
Udom E.

AI Match Summary

Xerez Deportivo FC in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xerez Deportivo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Xerez Deportivo FC
28%
Draws
50%
Melilla
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Xerez Deportivo FC have won more games recently than Melilla.
  • Win probability leans Melilla's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Melilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC Melilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Melilla
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:1
Sep 25, 2024 Copa Federacion
Melilla vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Udom E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorenzo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 24 / 100
Melilla 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez Deportivo FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Melilla has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Melilla registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS Melilla
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Home)
03 May
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Xerez Deportivo FC
26 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Xerez CD
19 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
12 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Linares
05 Apr
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
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Melilla

(Away)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Melilla
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1
Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1
Melilla
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)