Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xerez Deportivo FC vs Portuense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Tamayo J.

AI Match Summary

Portuense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Xerez Deportivo FC
20%
Draws
47%
Portuense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Xerez Deportivo FC and Portuense on recent form.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Portuense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC Portuense
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Portuense
0:1
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Portuense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamayo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 36 / 100
Portuense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC Portuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuense let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Xerez Deportivo FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS Portuense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
1 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
27 Sept
Betis C
2 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0
Bollullos
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3
Xerez Deportivo FC
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
Page 1 of 6

Portuense

(Away)
04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1
Portuense
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Tomares UD 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
6 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
7 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Chiclana 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 AD Ceuta B 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
12 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
13 Conil 6 2 0 4 4:10 6
14 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
15 Bollullos 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
16 Sevilla C 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
17 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)