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Xerez Deportivo FC vs San Roque de Lepe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xerez Deportivo FC host San Roque de Lepe in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. San Roque de Lepe have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Xerez Deportivo FC have conceded 1.17 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor San Roque de Lepe slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2023, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.88) point toward San Roque de Lepe. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Xerez Deportivo FC
20%
Draws
40%
San Roque de Lepe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Roque de Lepe come out ahead of Xerez Deportivo FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Xerez Deportivo FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 20%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC San Roque de Lepe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs San Roque de Lepe
1:1
Sep 24, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
San Roque de Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:1
May 15, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs San Roque de Lepe
0:1
Feb 2, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
San Roque de Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo FC
4:2
May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 42 / 100
San Roque de Lepe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC San Roque de Lepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Roque de Lepe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Xerez Deportivo FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS San Roque de Lepe
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
1 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
27 Sept
Betis C
2 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0
Bollullos
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3
Xerez Deportivo FC
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
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San Roque de Lepe

(Away)
04 Oct
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Betis C
27 Sept
Bollullos
1 : 2
San Roque de Lepe
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Tomares UD 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
6 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
7 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Chiclana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
12 Conil 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
14 Sevilla C 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
16 AD Ceuta B 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
17 Bollullos 5 0 2 3 6:10 2
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)