Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xilotepelt vs Esteli

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Copa Primera Estadio Municipal Mario Estrada Gomez, Jinotepe
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Xilotepelt
30%
Draws
62%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Esteli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Esteli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Esteli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esteli, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Esteli here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Xilotepelt Clean Sheet 17%
Esteli Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xilotepelt Esteli
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 22
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.87 2.12
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa Primera
Esteli vs Xilotepelt
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Copa Primera
Xilotepelt vs Esteli
0:1
Apr 11, 2013 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Xilotepelt
12:0
Feb 20, 2013 Liga Primera
Xilotepelt vs Esteli
0:2
Oct 3, 2012 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Xilotepelt
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xilotepelt 10 / 100
Esteli 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xilotepelt Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Xilotepelt found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Esteli conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.

Xilotepelt went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xilotepelt VS Esteli
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xilotepelt

(Home)
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
27 Apr
Xilotepelt
3 : 5
Juventus FC
21 Apr
Ocotal
3 : 1
Xilotepelt
14 Apr
Xilotepelt
0 : 0
Chinandega
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Esteli

(Away)
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
27 Aug
Marathon
3 : 0
Esteli
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen 2
Sport Sebaco 3
Matagalpa 5
Jalapa 4
Xilotepelt 0
Esteli 3
Rancho Santana 2
Managua FC 5
Semi-finals
Sport Sebaco -
Matagalpa -
Esteli -
Managua FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -