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Xinabajul vs Antigua

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Los Cuchumatanes, Huehuetenango
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Fernandez D.
36'
Yori E.
38'
Ardon J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2024/2025 game between Xinabajul and Antigua finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Xinabajul
30%
Draws
52%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Antigua a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 19%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Antigua
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 6 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Antigua
0:0
Feb 13, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xinabajul
6:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xinabajul
2:2
Aug 26, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Antigua
2:0
Apr 29, 2024 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xinabajul
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 20 / 100
Antigua 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xinabajul found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Antigua let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Xinabajul stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Antigua
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xinabajul

(Home)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

Antigua

(Away)
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3
Antigua
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)