Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xinabajul vs Iztapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Guerra C.
31'
Mira E.
45'
Samayoa P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Xinabajul and Iztapa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xinabajul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Xinabajul
35%
Draws
37%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iztapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Iztapa haven't matched Xinabajul's recent run of results.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Xinabajul taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Xinabajul here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 68%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Iztapa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xinabajul
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Iztapa
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xinabajul
0:1
Aug 21, 2022 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Iztapa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Jucup N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Iztapa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 95 / 100
Iztapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Iztapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xinabajul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iztapa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Xinabajul scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Xinabajul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xinabajul VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xinabajul

(Home)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 7

Iztapa

(Away)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)