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Xinabajul vs Iztapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Guerra C.
31'
Mira E.
45'
Samayoa P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Xinabajul and Iztapa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xinabajul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Xinabajul
6%
Draws
4%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Xinabajul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Iztapa haven't matched Xinabajul's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Xinabajul taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Xinabajul here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 68%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Iztapa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xinabajul
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Iztapa
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Xinabajul
0:1
Aug 21, 2022 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Iztapa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Jucup N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Iztapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 95 / 100
Iztapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Iztapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iztapa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Xinabajul scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Xinabajul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xinabajul VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019