Sport Picks
Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal Muborak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Xorazm Stadium, Urgench 
Match Events
31'
31'
Tukhtasinov T.
33'
33'
Ortikboev D.
(Penalty)
53'
53'
Sub
Tukhtasinov T. In: Murtazoev K.
Out: Tukhtasinov T.
AI Match Summary
Xorazm Urganch in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xorazm Urganch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xorazm Urganch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Xorazm Urganch have won more games recently than Mashal Muborak.
- Model gives Xorazm Urganch a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Xorazm Urganch have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 68%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xorazm Urganch | Mashal Muborak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Xorazm Urganch
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Xorazm Urganch
0:3
May 18, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal Muborak
3:0
Nov 21, 2024 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal Muborak
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Khoshimov U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Mashal Muborak Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xorazm Urganch 95 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xorazm Urganch Mashal Muborak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Xorazm Urganch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mashal Muborak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Mashal Muborak registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Xorazm Urganch found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Xorazm Urganch VS Mashal Muborak
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Xorazm Urganch
(Home) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
Mashal Muborak
(Away) 09 Oct
Kokand 1912
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Kokand 1912
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
