Sport Picks
Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona
Uzbekistan
Super League 2025 Xorazm Stadium, Urgench 
Match Events
2'
2'
Khusinov A.
Assist: Ezhov D.
6'
6'
Shaykulov I.
9'
9'
Khusinov A.
AI Match Summary
Xorazm Urganch in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xorazm Urganch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftchi Fargona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than Xorazm Urganch.
- Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Neftchi Fargona here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 12%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xorazm Urganch | Neftchi Fargona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona
2:0
Jul 7, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Aug 29, 2021 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona
0:3
Apr 17, 2021 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Khusinov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bobojonov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xorazm Urganch Neftchi Fargona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Xorazm Urganch scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Neftchi Fargona has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Xorazm Urganch stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Xorazm Urganch VS Neftchi Fargona
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Xorazm Urganch
(Home) 02 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
5 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
16 Jul
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
04 May
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 3 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
04 May
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 3 Andijan
24 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
14 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 2 Kokand 1912
03 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 3
Neftchi Fargona
(Away) 28 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5 Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5 Neftchi Fargona
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
24 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
14 Apr
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 49:24 | 64 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Nasaf Qarshi | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 51:23 | 59 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 47:30 | 58 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48:40 | 49 |
| 6 | OKMK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44:34 | 48 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 41:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Sogdiana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37:37 | 37 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 28:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Termez Surkhon | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:30 | 35 |
| 11 | Andijan | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 39:51 | 35 |
| 12 | Kokand 1912 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 24:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mashal Muborak | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:48 | 30 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30:49 | 27 |
| 15 | Xorazm Urganch | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33:39 | 27 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27:57 | 17 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Super League 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Main)
