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Stadium Background

Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Xorazm Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Otakhonov A.
55'
Sub
Andreev S. In: Mavlonkulov S.
Out: Andreev S.
59'
Hebaj R.

AI Match Summary

Xorazm Urganch host Sogdiana in the Super League 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Sogdiana have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Xorazm Urganch have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Xorazm Urganch have won 1 to Sogdiana's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.69, favoring Sogdiana. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Xorazm Urganch
22%
Draws
60%
Sogdiana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sogdiana has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Xorazm Urganch.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Sogdiana.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 13%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xorazm Urganch Sogdiana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana
0:2
Jun 19, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Jun 30, 2012 Pro Liga
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:2
Apr 12, 2012 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana
1:2
Nov 5, 2009 Super League
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Doriev L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaloliddinov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xorazm Urganch 19 / 100
Sogdiana 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xorazm Urganch Sogdiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xorazm Urganch scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sogdiana let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Xorazm Urganch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sogdiana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xorazm Urganch VS Sogdiana
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona30197449:2464
2Pakhtakor30186659:2360
3Nasaf Qarshi301611351:2359
4Din. Samarkand301610447:3058
5Bunyodkor301310748:4049
6OKMK301461044:3448
7Navbahor Namangan3010101041:3740
8Sogdiana301071337:3737
9Qizilqum30991228:4436
10Termez Surkhon30981326:3035
11Andijan30981339:5135
12Kokand 191230971424:3934
13Mashal Muborak30861622:4830
14Buxoro30691530:4927
15Xorazm Urganch30761733:3927
16Shortan Guzor30381927:5717