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Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Bac Ninh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Truong Van Thiet
56' Event
Tran G. H.
79' Event
Dinh Van Truong

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 2025/2026 game between Xuan Thien Phu Tho and Bac Ninh finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bac Ninh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
20%
Draws
48%
Bac Ninh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bac Ninh come out ahead of Xuan Thien Phu Tho on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular V.League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 68%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xuan Thien Phu Tho Bac Ninh
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.59 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.52 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 V.League 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Bac Ninh
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Tran G. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Truong Van Thiet
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dinh Van Truong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xuan Thien Phu Tho 42 / 100
Bac Ninh 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Bac Ninh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xuan Thien Phu Tho scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Bac Ninh let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Xuan Thien Phu Tho stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xuan Thien Phu Tho VS Bac Ninh
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

(Home)
20 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
13 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 1
Khanh Hoa
20 Aug
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 2
Hung Yen
06 Jun
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
30 May
PVF-CAND B
2 : 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
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Bac Ninh

(Away)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)