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Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Tran Khanh Hung

AI Match Summary

Xuan Thien Phu Tho in this V.League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xuan Thien Phu Tho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
20%
Draws
22%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Truong Tuoi Dong Nai lately — more wins on the board than Xuan Thien Phu Tho.
  • Xuan Thien Phu Tho are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 15%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xuan Thien Phu Tho Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 V.League 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
1:0
Oct 2, 2025 V.League 2
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Tran Khanh Hung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xuan Thien Phu Tho 39 / 100
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xuan Thien Phu Tho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xuan Thien Phu Tho's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Xuan Thien Phu Tho went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Truong Tuoi Dong Nai has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xuan Thien Phu Tho VS Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

(Home)
20 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
13 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 1
Khanh Hoa
20 Aug
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 2
Hung Yen
06 Jun
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
30 May
PVF-CAND B
2 : 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
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Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

(Away)
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
13 Sept
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
04 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 2
Viettel
06 Jun
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
30 May
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
3 : 0
Long An
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)