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Xuventu Sanxenxo vs Cerceda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xuventu Sanxenxo in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xuventu Sanxenxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Xuventu Sanxenxo
30%
Draws
16%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xuventu Sanxenxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xuventu Sanxenxo lately — more wins on the board than Cerceda.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Xuventu Sanxenxo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Xuventu Sanxenxo Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xuventu Sanxenxo Cerceda
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 9 3
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.22 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Xuventu Sanxenxo
2:0
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Xuventu Sanxenxo vs Cerceda
4:0
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Xuventu Sanxenxo vs Cerceda
2:1
Nov 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Xuventu Sanxenxo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xuventu Sanxenxo 49 / 100
Cerceda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xuventu Sanxenxo Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xuventu Sanxenxo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cerceda conceded in 91% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Xuventu Sanxenxo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cerceda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cerceda
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xuventu Sanxenxo

(Home)
17 May
Xuventu Sanxenxo
1 : 1
Arosa SC
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Xuventu Sanxenxo
03 May
Xuventu Sanxenxo
3 : 1
Bertamirans FC
26 Apr
Laracha
2 : 3
Xuventu Sanxenxo
19 Apr
Xuventu Sanxenxo
0 : 3
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 7

Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ourense 38 22 10 6 49:25 76
2 Alondras 38 21 10 7 68:41 73
3 Cerceda 38 20 10 8 47:29 70
4 Pontevedra 38 21 7 10 54:34 70
5 Racing Club Villalbes 38 20 7 11 57:45 67
6 Deportivo Fabril 38 19 8 11 56:33 65
7 Rapido de Bouzas 38 16 8 14 52:50 56
8 Racing Club Ferrol 38 14 13 11 55:41 55
9 Villalonga 38 15 5 18 45:48 50
10 Dorneda 38 12 13 13 39:47 49
11 Somozas 38 12 12 14 50:51 48
12 SD Ordenes 38 12 10 16 40:47 46
13 Bergantinos 38 12 9 17 37:44 45
14 SD Negreira 38 10 14 14 42:52 44
15 Betanzos CF 38 12 6 20 43:53 42
16 CD AS Pontes 38 10 11 17 47:53 41
17 Estradense 38 11 8 19 37:52 41
18 CD Cultural Areas 38 10 10 18 40:58 40
19 Lalin 38 10 9 19 30:53 39
20 Xuventu Sanxenxo 38 6 10 22 33:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)