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Stadium Background

XV de Jau U20 vs Guarani U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copinha Estádio Zezinho Magalhães, Jaú
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Osorio J.
60'
Eduardo M.
60'
Eduardo M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
XV de Jau U20
15%
Draws
69%
Guarani U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarani U20 lately — more wins on the board than XV de Jau U20.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Guarani U20 taking it.
  • Guarani U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor XV de Jau U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
XV de Jau U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau U20 Guarani U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs XV de Jau U20
3:0
Jan 15, 2026 Copinha
XV de Jau U20 vs Guarani U20
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Paulista U20
XV de Jau U20 vs Guarani U20
1:2
Jan 3, 2020 Copinha
XV de Jau U20 vs Guarani U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

XV de Jau U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guarani U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau U20 10 / 100
Guarani U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau U20 Guarani U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

XV de Jau U20 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guarani U20 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: XV de Jau U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau U20 VS Guarani U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
XV de Jau U20
0 : 1
Porto Football U20
Page 1 of 7

Guarani U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1
Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Votuporanguense U20 1
Gremio U20 3
Alagoinhas U20 1
Goias U20 0
Mirassol U20 1
Sport Recife U20 1
America RN U20 2
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 2
Gremio Prudente U20 2
Osasco Sporting U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
XV de Jau U20 3
Corinthians U20 1
Guarani U20 2
Bahia U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 3
America MG U20 2
Internacional de Limeira U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 1
Vasco U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Tuna Luso U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Meia Noite U20 1
Ponte Preta U20 2
Francana U20 1
Ferroviaria U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 0
Santos U20 1
Cuiaba U20 0
Bragantino U20 3
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 0
Canaa U20 1
Figueirense U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Portuguesa U20 0
Operario PR U20 4
Independente AP U20 0
EC Juventude U20 2
Aguia De Maraba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 3
Sao Jose EC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Uniao Mogi U20 1
Fluminense U20 2
Referencia U20 1
Ituano U20 3
Agua Santa U20 1
Palmeiras U20 4
Vitoria U20 3
Flamengo SP U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Osasco Audax U20 0
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 1
Retro U20 0
Internacional U20 4
Nacional SP U20 2
CA Juventus U20 0
1/16-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Mirassol U20 0
America RN U20 2
Ceara U20 3
Gremio Prudente U20 1
XV de Jau U20 1
Guarani U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 1
America MG U20 0
Botafogo SP U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Ponte Preta U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 1
Santos U20 4
Bragantino U20 5
Canaa U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 5
Operario PR U20 1
EC Juventude U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Fortaleza U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Fluminense U20 0
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 2
Flamengo SP U20 1
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 3
Nacional SP U20 2
1/8-finals
Gremio U20 4
America RN U20 1
Ceara U20 2
XV de Jau U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Santos U20 1
Bragantino U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 0
Ituano U20 1
Palmeiras U20 3
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 1
Quarter-finals
Gremio U20 3
Ceara U20 0
Guanabara City U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Palmeiras U20 2
Ibrachina U20 3
Semi-finals
Gremio U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 4
Ibrachina U20 1
Final
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 1