Sport Picks

Stadium Background

XV de Jau U20 vs Ituano U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Matheus Adati
72' Event
Carvalho I.
88' Event
Venecia I.

AI Match Summary

XV de Jau U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored XV de Jau U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
XV de Jau U20
15%
Draws
49%
Ituano U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ituano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • XV de Jau U20 have won more games recently than Ituano U20.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Ituano U20 taking it.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • XV de Jau U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
XV de Jau U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau U20 Ituano U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Paulista U20
XV de Jau U20 vs Ituano U20
2:1
Aug 2, 2024 Paulista U20
XV de Jau U20 vs Ituano U20
3:0
Jun 28, 2024 Paulista U20
Ituano U20 vs XV de Jau U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

XV de Jau U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Adati
1 Goals
Assists Leader Venecia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ituano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau U20 12 / 100
Ituano U20 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau U20 Ituano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ituano U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

XV de Jau U20's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ituano U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ituano U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau U20 VS Ituano U20
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
XV de Jau U20
0 : 1
Porto Football U20
Page 1 of 7

Ituano U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)