Sport Picks

Stadium Background

XV de Jau U20 vs Referencia U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
XV de Jau U20 Logo

XV de Jau U20

2 - 1
FT
Referencia U20 Logo

Referencia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Matheus Adati
41' Event
Campos Marques C. R.
81'
Soares G. d. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

XV de Jau U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored XV de Jau U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
XV de Jau U20
15%
Draws
64%
Referencia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Referencia U20 haven't matched XV de Jau U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Referencia U20 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
XV de Jau U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau U20 Referencia U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Paulista U20
XV de Jau U20 vs Referencia U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

XV de Jau U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Adati
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campos Marques C. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Franca de Moraes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau U20 15 / 100
Referencia U20 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau U20 Referencia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Referencia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Referencia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

XV de Jau U20's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: XV de Jau U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau U20 VS Referencia U20
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
XV de Jau U20
0 : 1
Porto Football U20
Page 1 of 7

Referencia U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)