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XV de Jau vs Tanabi Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2023 game between XV de Jau and Tanabi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward XV de Jau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
XV de Jau
30%
Draws
12%
Tanabi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanabi come out ahead of XV de Jau on wins alone.
  • Model gives XV de Jau a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and XV de Jau have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 20%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau Tanabi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2023 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs XV de Jau
0:2
Jul 5, 2023 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Tanabi
2:0
Jun 5, 2016 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Tanabi
3:0
Apr 17, 2016 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs XV de Jau
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau 67 / 100
Tanabi 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau Tanabi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: XV de Jau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tanabi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

XV de Jau scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau VS Tanabi
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau

(Home)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
Page 1 of 6

Tanabi

(Away)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
2 Francana 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
3 Jacarei FC 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
4 Amparo SP 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vocem 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
2 Taquaritinga 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Maua FC 6 1 3 2 9:6 6
4 Manthiqueira 6 1 0 5 2:13 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Uniao Barbarense 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
3 Tanabi 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
4 Mauaense 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SKA Brasil 6 4 2 0 21:1 14
2 Catanduva FC 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Independente SP 6 3 0 3 6:9 9
4 Guarulhos 6 0 0 6 1:24 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 America SP 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 Nacional SP 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Flamengo SP 6 0 1 5 1:10 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao-Carlense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Rio Branco SP 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Jabaquara 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
4 Fernandopolis 6 1 0 5 3:15 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams