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XV de Jau vs Uniao Sao Joao

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bruninho

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between XV de Jau and Uniao Sao Joao finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Sao Joao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
XV de Jau
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and XV de Jau come out ahead of Uniao Sao Joao on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on XV de Jau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs XV de Jau
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Copa Paulista
XV de Jau vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs XV de Jau
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

XV de Jau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau 95 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau Uniao Sao Joao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao Sao Joao conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

XV de Jau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

XV de Jau's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau VS Uniao Sao Joao
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau

(Home)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
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Uniao Sao Joao

(Away)
25 Jul
Noroeste
2 : 2
Uniao Sao Joao
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0
Piracicaba
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2
EC Sao Bernardo
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)