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Yadanarbon vs Dagon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Moe P.
17' Event
Htwe Yan Kyaw
27' Event
Myo Zaw Oo

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Yadanarbon and Dagon finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Yadanarbon
15%
Draws
53%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Yadanarbon haven't matched Dagon's recent run of results.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 11%
Dagon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yadanarbon Dagon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Yadanarbon
2:1
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon
2:2
May 17, 2025 MNL League Cup
Yadanarbon vs Dagon
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon
4:2
Aug 24, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Yadanarbon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yadanarbon Compare

Top Goalscorer Moe P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Myo Zaw Oo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Htwe Yan Kyaw
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yadanarbon 30 / 100
Dagon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yadanarbon Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yadanarbon scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Dagon conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Yadanarbon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yadanarbon VS Dagon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yadanarbon

(Home)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
24 Feb
Hantharwady United
0 : 1
Yadanarbon
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
Page 1 of 7

Dagon

(Away)
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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