Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yadanarbon vs Rakhine United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Thuwunna Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Aung Thet Tun
25' Event
Htay T. K.
29' Event
Oo S. M.

AI Match Summary

Yadanarbon host Rakhine United in the National League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Yadanarbon at 0.88 goals for, 1.75 against; Rakhine United at 1.25 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Yadanarbon slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Yadanarbon to edge this. Yadanarbon in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yadanarbon
6%
Draws
4%
Rakhine United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yadanarbon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Yadanarbon has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rakhine United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Yadanarbon.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 16%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yadanarbon Rakhine United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 National League
Rakhine United vs Yadanarbon
2:0
Sep 29, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Rakhine United
7:3
Jan 18, 2025 National League
Rakhine United vs Yadanarbon
2:4
Aug 3, 2024 National League
Yadanarbon vs Rakhine United
3:2
Aug 4, 2023 National League
Yadanarbon vs Rakhine United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yadanarbon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyaw Soe Kyaw
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Thet Tun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rakhine United Compare

Top Goalscorer Htay T. K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zin Min T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yadanarbon 84 / 100
Rakhine United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yadanarbon Rakhine United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yadanarbon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Rakhine United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Yadanarbon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rakhine United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yadanarbon VS Rakhine United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shan United22184066:1058
2Yangon United22183170:757
3Dagon22116539:3039
4Ispe2294935:4631
5Hantharwady United2277832:3428
6Mahar United2277839:4428
7Yadanarbon22751038:3826
8Ayeyawady22751025:2626
9Thitsar Arman2259836:3824
10Dagon Port22571044:6222
11Rakhine United22541328:5419
12Yarmanya United22131817:806