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Yadanarbon vs Yangon United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sithu K.
45' Event
Oo Lwin N.
65' Event
Moe P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Yadanarbon and Yangon United finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Yadanarbon
15%
Draws
58%
Yangon United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Yangon United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Yangon United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yangon United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yadanarbon Yangon United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 23
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.89 2.96
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 National League
Yadanarbon vs Yangon United
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 National League
Yangon United vs Yadanarbon
1:0
Jun 23, 2025 MNL League Cup
Yadanarbon vs Yangon United
1:3
Feb 8, 2025 National League
Yangon United vs Yadanarbon
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 National League
Yadanarbon vs Yangon United
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yadanarbon Compare

Top Goalscorer Oo Lwin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sithu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paing M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yadanarbon 10 / 100
Yangon United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yadanarbon Yangon United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Yadanarbon found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Yangon United let in goals in 29% of their last 28 matches.

Yadanarbon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yadanarbon VS Yangon United
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Yadanarbon

(Home)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
24 Feb
Hantharwady United
0 : 1
Yadanarbon
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
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Yangon United

(Away)
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
25 Feb
Mahar United
0 : 2
Yangon United
20 Feb
Yangon United
0 : 0
Shan United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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