Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yague vs San Marcial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yague host San Marcial in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Yague have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against San Marcial's 1.14 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Yague have won 1 to San Marcial's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.56, favoring Yague. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Yague
30%
Draws
35%
San Marcial
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yague come out ahead of San Marcial on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Yague taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Yague Clean Sheet 15%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yague San Marcial
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Yague
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs San Marcial
1:1
Mar 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Yague
2:1
Oct 20, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs San Marcial
2:0
Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Yague
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yague 35 / 100
San Marcial 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yague San Marcial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yague found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: San Marcial conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Yague went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yague VS San Marcial
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yague

(Home)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 7

San Marcial

(Away)
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Anguiano 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
9 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
10 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
11 Yague 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
12 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)