Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012

Nova Kakhovka

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yalpuh Bolhrad play Nova Kakhovka in the Druha Liga 2011/2012. Nova Kakhovka are favorites here. Recently, Yalpuh Bolhrad averaged 0.41 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Nova Kakhovka averaged 1 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Yalpuh Bolhrad won 0, Nova Kakhovka won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2012 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Yalpuh Bolhrad and 0.99 for Nova Kakhovka. This points to a Nova Kakhovka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Yalpuh Bolhrad

15%

Draws

63%

Nova Kakhovka

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nova Kakhovka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Yalpuh Bolhrad picked up more points recently compared to Nova Kakhovka.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Yalpuh Bolhrad Clean Sheet 23%

Nova Kakhovka Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yalpuh Bolhrad	Nova Kakhovka
Matches Played	27	18
Wins	2	6
Draws	1	2
Losses	24	10
Goals Scored	0.41	1
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2012 Druha Liga

Yalpuh Bolhrad vs Nova Kakhovka

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Sep 24, 2011 Druha Liga

Nova Kakhovka vs Yalpuh Bolhrad

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yalpuh Bolhrad 24 / 100

Nova Kakhovka 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yalpuh Bolhrad Nova Kakhovka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Kakhovka Win (2)

Secondary Pick Nova Kakhovka & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yalpuh Bolhrad attacking → ← attacking Nova Kakhovka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yalpuh Bolhrad scored in 41% of their last 17 games.

Nova Kakhovka let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Yalpuh Bolhrad went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nova Kakhovka lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 20

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sumy	26	21	3	2	51:13	66
2	Desna	26	18	5	3	48:19	59
3	Cherkashchyna	26	15	8	3	36:16	53
4	Nova Kakhovka	26	15	7	4	51:18	52
5	UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka	26	14	6	6	43:25	48
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)	26	11	6	9	40:32	33
7	Real Pharma Odesa	26	9	6	11	28:41	33
8	Krystal	26	9	5	12	30:32	32
9	Skala Stryj	26	8	4	14	26:36	28
10	FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi	26	6	4	16	23:50	22
11	Ch. Odesa 2	26	5	5	16	19:20	20
12	Nyva Ternopil	26	9	6	11	30:41	18
13	Yednist	26	3	6	17	19:57	15
14	Yalpuh Bolhrad	26	2	1	23	10:54	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Poltava	26	18	5	3	50:19	59
2	Kramatorsk 2	26	19	1	6	41:15	58
3	Shakhter Sverdlovsk	26	15	6	5	49:23	51
4	Kryvbas Krivoy Rog	26	16	3	7	44:22	51
5	Kremin	26	16	3	7	34:23	51
6	Stal Kamianske	26	15	3	8	34:19	48
7	Myr Hornostajivka	26	13	7	6	36:26	46
8	Shakhtar 3	26	10	1	15	46:56	31
9	Hirnyk-Sport	26	6	8	12	28:39	26
10	FC Sevastopol 2	26	7	3	16	26:51	24
11	Dnipro II	26	6	5	15	24:45	23
12	SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2	26	5	3	18	19:43	18
13	FC Mariupol II	26	5	2	19	25:47	17
14	FC Nikopol	26	5	2	19	20:48	17