Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yambol 1915 play Maritsa Milevo in the Third League - South-East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yambol 1915 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Maritsa Milevo averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Yambol 1915 won 3, Maritsa Milevo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Yambol 1915 and 1.81 for Maritsa Milevo. This points to a Yambol 1915 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Yambol 1915

24%

Draws

34%

Maritsa Milevo

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Yambol 1915

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Yambol 1915 picked up more points recently compared to Maritsa Milevo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Yambol 1915 Clean Sheet 11%

Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yambol 1915	Maritsa Milevo
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	17	14
Draws	6	9
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.94	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.22	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-East

Yambol 1915 vs Maritsa Milevo

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Sep 13, 2025 Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo vs Yambol 1915

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

May 17, 2025 Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo vs Yambol 1915

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

2:2

Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-East

Yambol 1915 vs Maritsa Milevo

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yambol 1915 40 / 100

Maritsa Milevo 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yambol 1915 Maritsa Milevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yambol 1915 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yambol 1915 attacking → ← attacking Maritsa Milevo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yambol 1915 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Maritsa Milevo let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Yambol 1915 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Maritsa Milevo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 51

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23