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Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yanbian Longding host Foshan Nanshi in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Yanbian Longding have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Foshan Nanshi's 0.89 scored and 1.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Yanbian Longding slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.38) back Yanbian Longding to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Yanbian Longding
30%
Draws
58%
Foshan Nanshi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Foshan Nanshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Foshan Nanshi haven't matched Yanbian Longding's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Yanbian Longding Clean Sheet 17%
Foshan Nanshi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yanbian Longding Foshan Nanshi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.46 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 League One
Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi
4:1
Jun 14, 2025 League One
Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding
2:2
Nov 3, 2024 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 League One
Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yanbian Longding 31 / 100
Foshan Nanshi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yanbian Longding Foshan Nanshi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foshan Nanshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Foshan Nanshi conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Yanbian Longding scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Yanbian Longding stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yanbian Longding VS Foshan Nanshi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yanbian Longding

(Home)
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
18 Sept
Yanbian Longding
1 : 2
Guangdong GZ-Power
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
05 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 0
Yanbian Longding
29 Aug
Shaanxi Union
3 : 1
Yanbian Longding
Page 1 of 6

Foshan Nanshi

(Away)
07 Oct
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 0
Guangxi Hengchen
19 Sept
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
12 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
3 : 2
Foshan Nanshi
05 Sept
Foshan Nanshi
0 : 0
Dalian Kun City
29 Aug
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 2
Shenzhen Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)