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Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Tayir Shewketjan
40' Event
Ngom Mbekeli J.
Assist: Fu Shang
40'
Ngom Mbekeli J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Yanbian Longding
15%
Draws
0%
Nanjing City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yanbian Longding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yanbian Longding lately — more wins on the board than Nanjing City.
  • Yanbian Longding are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Yanbian Longding Clean Sheet 68%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yanbian Longding Nanjing City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.46 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City
6:1
Jul 6, 2025 League One
Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yanbian Longding Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngom Mbekeli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yanbian Longding 95 / 100
Nanjing City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yanbian Longding Nanjing City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yanbian Longding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nanjing City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Nanjing City has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Yanbian Longding scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Yanbian Longding VS Nanjing City
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yanbian Longding

(Home)
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
18 Sept
Yanbian Longding
1 : 2
Guangdong GZ-Power
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
05 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 0
Yanbian Longding
29 Aug
Shaanxi Union
3 : 1
Yanbian Longding
Page 1 of 6

Nanjing City

(Away)
07 Oct
Nanjing City
1 : 4
Shaanxi Union
19 Sept
Nanjing City
0 : 3
Wuxi Wugou
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)