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Yangju vs Paju Frontier

South Korea South Korea

K3 League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ryu Seung-Beom
33' Event
Yang Chang-Hoon
62' Event
Seong Jeong-Yun

AI Match Summary

The K3 League 2023 game between Yangju and Paju Frontier finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yangju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Yangju
11%
Draws
80%
Paju Frontier
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Paju Frontier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paju Frontier come out ahead of Yangju on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Paju Frontier's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular K3 League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Yangju Clean Sheet 19%
Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangju Paju Frontier
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Yangju
4:0
Jun 11, 2023 K3 League
Yangju vs Paju Frontier
3:2
Aug 21, 2022 K3 League
Yangju vs Paju Frontier
3:4
Apr 23, 2022 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Yangju
0:1
Jul 25, 2021 K3 League
Yangju vs Paju Frontier
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangju Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Chang-Hoon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Choi Chi-Ung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Paju Frontier Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryu Seung-Beom
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seong Jeong-Yun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangju 12 / 100
Paju Frontier 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangju Paju Frontier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Yangju scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Paju Frontier has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Paju Frontier's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paju Frontier
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangju

(Home)
04 Nov
Paju Frontier
4 : 0
Yangju
28 Oct
Yangju
1 : 2
Daejeon Korail
24 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yangju
17 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 0
Yangju
10 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
4 : 3
Yangju
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Paju Frontier

(Away)
19 Jul
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 0
Paju Frontier
15 Jul
Paju Frontier
3 : 2
Gangneung
11 Jul
Hwaseong
1 : 2
Paju Frontier
04 Jul
Paju Frontier
0 : 1
Yongin FC
05 Jun
Daegu
1 : 0
Paju Frontier
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hwaseong28179242:2160
2Mokpo28158548:2653
3Gimhae281310542:2649
4Ulsan Citizen28138737:2947
5Daejeon Korail281161134:3239
6Siheung Citizen28109937:3739
7Paju Frontier281151232:2738
8Chuncheon28911825:2638
9Busan Kyotong28971234:3634
10Gyeongju KHNP288101028:3234
11Pocheon28712926:3333
12Gangneung28881227:3532
13Yangpyeong28761528:4327
14Changwon28761523:3927
15Yangju28471729:5019
Relegation - K3 League 2023 (Relegation)