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Yangon United vs Mahar United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Lwin M. M.
90' Event
Djidjiwa M.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Yangon United and Mahar United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Yangon United
15%
Draws
27%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yangon United come out ahead of Mahar United on wins alone.
  • Yangon United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yangon United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 20%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon United Mahar United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 3.1 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.48 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 National League
Yangon United vs Mahar United
2:0
Feb 25, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Yangon United
0:2
Jan 6, 2026 National League
Yangon United vs Mahar United
4:0
May 16, 2025 MNL League Cup
Mahar United vs Yangon United
2:6
Jan 11, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Yangon United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lwin M. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djidjiwa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Mahar United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon United 85 / 100
Mahar United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon United Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yangon United scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Mahar United let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Yangon United has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yangon United VS Mahar United
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon United

(Home)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
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Mahar United

(Away)
09 Oct
Mahar United
1 : 1
Chinland
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
11 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
12 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)