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Yangon United vs Thitsar Arman

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Paing K.
44' Event
Oo Min Maw
45' Event
Lwin M. M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Yangon United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Yangon United
35%
Draws
27%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yangon United lately — more wins on the board than Thitsar Arman.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Yangon United taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Yangon United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 68%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon United Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 24 8
Draws 3 14
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.93 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 National League
Yangon United vs Thitsar Arman
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Yangon United
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 National League
Yangon United vs Thitsar Arman
3:2
Sep 23, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Yangon United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Khant Aung Myo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Oo Min Maw
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon United 77 / 100
Thitsar Arman 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon United Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangon United found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Yangon United remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Thitsar Arman let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yangon United VS Thitsar Arman
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon United

(Home)
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
25 Feb
Mahar United
0 : 2
Yangon United
20 Feb
Yangon United
0 : 0
Shan United
Page 1 of 6

Thitsar Arman

(Away)
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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