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Yangpyeong vs Busan Kyotong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rabens J.
31' Event
Kim Yu-jong
42' Event
Kim Yu-jong

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Yangpyeong and Busan Kyotong finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Busan Kyotong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Yangpyeong
20%
Draws
64%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busan Kyotong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Yangpyeong haven't matched Busan Kyotong's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangpyeong Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Busan Kyotong
2:4
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Yangpyeong
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Busan Kyotong
2:0
May 2, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Yangpyeong
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Busan Kyotong
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangpyeong Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Yu-jong
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabens J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yong-jun J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangpyeong 30 / 100
Busan Kyotong 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangpyeong Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangpyeong found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Busan Kyotong has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Busan Kyotong has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yangpyeong VS Busan Kyotong
2 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangpyeong

(Home)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
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Busan Kyotong

(Away)
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1
Busan Kyotong
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)