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Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yangpyeong host Ulsan Citizen in the K3 League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Yangpyeong have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Ulsan Citizen's 1.06 scored and 1.12 conceded. Past meetings favor Yangpyeong slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.00) point toward Ulsan Citizen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Yangpyeong
15%
Draws
76%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ulsan Citizen a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangpyeong Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen
2:0
Jun 28, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong
3:2
Mar 3, 2024 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangpyeong 18 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangpyeong Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulsan Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangpyeong's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ulsan Citizen has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Yangpyeong went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yangpyeong VS Ulsan Citizen
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangpyeong

(Home)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
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Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)