Sport Picks
Yate vs Gosport Borough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
37'
37'
Jackson M.
AI Match Summary
Yate in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gosport Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gosport Borough average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Yate's 1.37.
- Gosport Borough are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Yate have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Yate Clean Sheet 11%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yate | Gosport Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gosport Borough
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Yate
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gosport Borough
1:1
Jan 14, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Yate
0:1
Nov 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gosport Borough
5:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Gosport Borough Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yate 22 / 100
Gosport Borough 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yate Gosport Borough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gosport Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gosport Borough conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Yate scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Yate remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Yate VS Gosport Borough
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Yate
(Home) 03 Oct
Yate
3 : 3 Frome Town
29 Sept
Wimborne
4 : 0 Yate
26 Sept
Yate
0 : 1 Sholing
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Yate
3 : 3 Frome Town
26 Sept
Yate
0 : 1 Sholing
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0 Devizes Town
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4 Taunton Town
Page 1 of 3
Gosport Borough
(Away) 07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3 Poole Town
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1 Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3 Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1 Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3 Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Gosport Borough
31 Aug
Sholing
1 : 0 Gosport Borough
22 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 2 Gosport Borough
08 Aug
Yate
1 : 0 Gosport Borough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
