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Yate vs Uxbridge

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ollis J.
66' Event
Ollis J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Yate and Uxbridge finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Yate
35%
Draws
42%
Uxbridge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Yate have managed 1.31 goals a game lately — Uxbridge are scoring more at 1.66.
  • Model gives Uxbridge a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Yate Clean Sheet 19%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yate Uxbridge
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Uxbridge
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Yate
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ollis J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Uxbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yate 24 / 100
Uxbridge 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yate Uxbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yate scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Uxbridge conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Yate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yate VS Uxbridge
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yate

(Home)
15 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Yate
11 Aug
Chippenham Town
1 : 1
Yate
08 Aug
Yate
1 : 0
Gosport Borough
01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1
Yate
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
Page 1 of 6

Uxbridge

(Away)
15 Aug
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Uxbridge
11 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 2
Uxbridge
08 Aug
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
25 Apr
Uxbridge
3 : 3
Poole Town
18 Apr
Walton & Hersham
1 : 1
Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)